Several press outlets are reporting that Sen. John McCain has decided on a running mate, whom he will apparently announce on Friday. We’ll see.
Let’s state the obvious: McCain has an “enthusiasm gap.” It’s not lethal to his campaign, but it has to be a consideration. Despite all the names you’ve heard in the press — and there have been a lot — I really think it is going to come down to three people: former MA Gov. Mitt Romney, MN Gov. Tim Pawlenty, and VA Rep. Eric Cantor (and here’s why):
As a former Mitt Romney delegate candidate, I would personally prefer that Sen. McCain select Mitt, for all the many, many reasons I’ve mentioned in previous posts. However, they do have some history with each other. Let’s face it: he’s a Mormon, too. That can be both a plus and a minus. Selecting Mitt certainly would open up McCain to further attacks from Democrats, especially in regard to their financial successes (as if that’s a bad thing!). However, those attacks are not unexpected, and you can always plan contingencies for what you expect. Even if Mitt’s not the VP choice, I’m almost certain he would be very active in a McCain Administration (Secretary of the Treasury, perhaps?).
I think that given McCain’s — shall we say — unpredictable nature, it is more likely that it would be someone like MN Gov. Tim Pawlenty. Of course, it doesn’t exactly hurt that Tim would be in his home state of Minnesota for the convention, would it? He’s an evangelical Christian, and a successful, energetic, relatively young, but experienced Republican governor in a generally “blue” state with “working class” roots (if you may recall, Minnesota was the only state that Ronald Reagan did not win in his 1984 electoral landslide). I think it could work.
Rep. Eric Cantor is one of the few Jewish Republicans in Congress. He has a very consistent conservative record with all the different factions within the party. He’s the GOP’s Chief Deputy Whip in Congress, and you don’t usually get to that level by being a wimp. Virginia may be close in 2008, so that may give his choice some extra consideration. Of course, the VP choice may in fact be someone completely out of the box (and that means we’ve all been duped). It might be a woman (Sarah Palin, Kay Bailey Hutchinson, and even Condi Rice come to mind).
No matter what you’ve heard, it will not be PA Gov. Tom Ridge, CT Sen. Joe Lieberman, or any other RINO or DINO. They might make good cabinet members, but not a VP for a Republican. If it is either one of these, McCain’s done … like stick a fork in him done. It would be an absolute mess of a convention, and probably lead to a real floor fight, and all his advisers know it. The first rule of choosing a Vice President is just like medicine, “First, do no harm.”
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